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July 2006 Keystone Poll

Franklin and Marshall College

Jump to:

What's the most important problem in the city?
Politicians' favorables/unfavorables
How'd the Would-be Mayors do?
Which issues do voters want the candidates to address?
What qualifications should the Next Mayor have?
Performance of John Street and Paul Vallas


Unless noted, the survey question was asked of all respondents in 2006.


All in all, do you think things in PHILADELPHIA are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track?
     

March
1995

March
2003

Sept
2003

Oct
2003

July
2006

46%

47%

50%

52%

28%

Headed in right direction

37%

45%

40%

37%

64%

Off on the wrong track

17%

8%

10%

11%

8%

Do Not Know

As a place to live, do you think PHILADELPHIA is…

March
1995

March
2003

Sept
2003

Oct
2003

July
2006

8%

14%

15%

19%

8%

Excellent

34%

42%

44%

46%

35%

Good

40%

34%

31%

29%

39%

Fair

16%

10%

10%

6%

17%

Poor

2%

0%

0%

0%

1%

Do Not Know

All things considered, do you think Philadelphia has gotten BETTER or WORSE than it was FOUR YEARS AGO, or has it stayed about the same as a place to live?

March
1995

March
2003

Sept
2003

Oct
2003

July
2006

30%

31%

39%

36%

15%

Better

38%

34%

26%

23%

55%

Worse

27%

31%

32%

37%

27%

About the Same

4%

4%

3%

4%

3%

Do Not Know

What do you think is the MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEM facing PHILADELPHIA today? (return to top)

            64%            Crime, drugs, violence

            5%             Education, schools, programs

            5%             Government, politicians, leadership

            5%             Gun control issue

            4%             Unemployment, economy

            3%             Improving city cleanliness, appearance, entertainment

            2%             Social problems

 1%             Public transportation

 1%             Roads, traffic

            1%             Businesses leaving, taxes

            1%             Environmental issues

            1%             Housing

            1%             Taxes in general

            1%             Wage taxes

            4%             Other

            2%             Do not know

Responses receiving less than 0.5% were added to the other category.

I'm going to read you some ISSUES that affect the livability of the City. For each one, please tell me how IMPORTANT it is for the City's elected officials to address each issue.  Please give each issue a score between ONE and TEN, where ONE means that it is NOT important at all and TEN means it is VERY important to the future health of the City. You can give the statement any score between one and ten. How important is it that local elected officials...

Mean

9.42      Develop plans to keep city residents SAFE from CRIME?

9.16      Work to improve the PUBLIC SCHOOLS?

8.65      Fund initiatives to IMPROVE the City's NEIGHBORHOODS?

8.38      Create MORE laws that REGULATE GUN ownership?   

8.37      Reform the ETHICS codes for CITY OFFICIALS?

7.72      REDUCE TAXES?

7.66      Enact WAGE tax CUTS?

6.49      Enact BUSINESS tax CUTS?

I'd like to ask you a few questions about some people involved in Philadelphia politics. Please let me know if your opinion of the person is favorable, not favorable, undecided, or if you haven't heard enough about the person to have an opinion. (return to top) 

Favorable

Unfavorable

Undecided

Not heard

DK

Ed Rendell

79%

10%

8%

3%

0%

March 2003

79%

10%

6%

4%

1%

March 1995

68%

11%

15%

6%

0%

John Street

37%

46%

14%

2%

1%

Oct 2003

45%

36%

16%

2%

1%

Sept 2003

37%

31%

25%

3%

4%

March 2003

44%

40%

13%

3%

0%

Oct 1999

41%

29%

21%

4%

5%

March 1995

23%

28%

22%

27%

0%

Michael Nutter

30%

9%

14%

45%

2%

Dwight Evans 

32%

8%

13%

45%

2%

March 2003

28%

9%

13%

49%

1%

March 1995

25%

4%

15%

56%

0%

Jonathan Saidel

29%

8%

16%

45%

2%

Chaka Fattah

41%

17%

12%

29%

1%

John Dougherty

23%

14%

11%

50%

2%

Tom Knox

7%

3%

8%

78%

4%

.

Some people are registered to vote, and many others are not. Are you CURRENTLY REGISTERED to vote at your present address?

March
1995

Oct
1999*

March
2003

Sept
2003*

Oct
2003*

July
2006

79%

100%

80%

100%

100%

88%

Yes

20%

0%

19%

0%

0%

12%

No

1%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

Do Not Know

*Survey of registered voters only.

Are you currently registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or as something else?

            n = 370 (Registered to vote)

March
1995

Oct
1999

March
2003

Sept
2003

Oct
2003

July
2006

25%

21%

19%

15%

18%

17%

Republican

69%

71%

69%

75%

74%

73%

Democrat

7%

6%

8%

6%

7%

4%

Independent

0%

2%

4%

3%

2%

5%

Something else      

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

1%

Do not know

Thinking about the last few state and national elections, which BEST DESCRIBES how you voted...

            n = 370 (Registered to vote)

Oct
1999

July
2006

39%

38%

Straight Democrat

18%

24%

Mostly Democrat

4%

5%

A few more Democrats than Republicans

20%

13%

About equally for both parties

3%

3%

A few more Republicans than Democrats

5%

9%

Mostly Republican

4%

5%

Straight Republican

7%

3%

Do Not Know

Politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative?

March
1995

Oct
1999

March 2003

Sept
2003

Oct
2003

July
2006

29%

30%

31%

33%

31%

27%

Liberal

38%

36%

41%

37%

39%

38%

Moderate

26%

26%

21%

22%

22%

29%

Conservative

7%

8%

7%

9%

8%

6%

Do Not Know

If the DEMOCRATIC primary election for Philadelphia's mayor were being held today and the candidates were... (rotated), would you vote for… (return to top)

n = 264 (Registered Democrats)

27%      Chaka Fattah       

11%      Dwight Evans

10%      Michael Nutter

9%       John Dougherty     

8%       Jonathan Saidel   

5%       Bob Brady

1%       Tom Knox

29%      Do Not Know

What ISSUES do you most want to hear the candidates for Philadelphia Mayor talk about during the upcoming campaign? (return to top) 

70%      Crime, drugs, violence

35%      Education, schools, programs

15%      Taxes in general

15%      Unemployment, economy

13%      Improving city cleanliness, appearance, entertainment

9%       Gun control issue

6%       Government, politicians, leadership

5%       Businesses leaving, taxes

5%       Wage taxes

4%       Housing

3%       Elder care

3%       Health care, insurance

3%       Property, real estate taxes

3%       Social problems

2%       Roads, traffic

1%       Environmental issues

1%       People leaving the city

1%       Public transportation

14%      Other

3%       Do not know

Percentages total more than 100% because multiple responses were accepted.
Responses receiving less than 0.5% were added to the other category.

What personal or professional qualifications do you think are most important for the next Mayor to have? (return to top)

22%      Experienced in politics, business

19%      Strong leader, influential, get job done

18%      Honest, sincere, truthful

15%      Ethical, personal integrity

13%      Caring, compassionate, concerned

12%      Understand & represent ALL people

9%       Familiar with, knowledge of city

9%       Intelligent, knowledgeable

8%       Educated

6%       Good speaker, people skills

5%       Specific issue mentioned

4%       Long-term resident of Philly

2%       Religious, spiritual

1%       Political party, ideology

1%       Common sense

16%      Other

14%      Do not know

Percentages total more than 100% because multiple responses were accepted.
Responses receiving less than 0.5% were added to the other category.

Would you be MORE LIKELY or LESS LIKELY to support a candidate for Mayor who ...

Much
More

Somewhat More

Somewhat Less

Much Less

Do Not Know

Has a plan to reduce the amount of corruption in City government

76%

18%

2%

1%

3%

Wants to set more restrictive regulations for gun ownership

70%

12%

5%

8%

5%

Intends to reform the ethics rules for City officials

58%

29%

4%

1%

8%

Wants to put a limit on the size of campaign contributions for elections to city offices

47%

26%

7%

8%

12%

Wants to use public money to finance city election campaigns

7%

8%

20%

57%

8%

How would you RATE the way JOHN STREET is handling his job as Mayor?  Would you say he is doing an excellent, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job? (return to top)

March
2003

Sept
2003

Oct
2003

July
2006

11%

9%

12%

5%

Excellent job

30%

34%

38%

25%

Good job

41%

43%

34%

39%

Fair job

18%

13%

14%

31%

Poor job

1%

2%

2%

0%

Do Not Know

How would you RATE the way PAUL VALLAS is handling his job as CHIEF EXECUTIVE of the Philadelphia Schools?

3%       Excellent job

24%      Good job

36%      Fair job

20%      Poor job

17%      Do Not Know

What is the name of the COUNTY you live in?

100%    Philadelphia

What was your AGE on your last birthday?

10%      18-24

16%      25-34

28%      35-44

15%      45-54

12%      55-64

19%      65 and older


What was the last grade level of schooling you have completed?

6%       Non high school graduate

37%      High school graduate (or GED)

15%      Some college

8%       Two-year or tech degree

19%      Four year college degree

15%      Postgraduate degree


Are you Hispanic or Latino, or NOT?

4%       Yes

96%      No


Which of the following categories best describes your racial background?

56%      White

48%      Black or African American

1%       Asian

2%       American Indian, Alaska Native 

5%       Other

Percentages total more than 100% because multiple responses were accepted.


Are you or is any member of your household a member of a LABOR UNION?

24%      Yes

75%      No

1%       Do Not Know


Income

21%      Under $25,000

17%      $25-$35,000

13%      $35-50,000

25%      $50-75,000

11%      $75-100,000

9%       Over $100,000

4%       Do Not Know


Sex of respondent:

44%      Male      

56%      Female

 

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